WA Poll: Labor on track for third successive landslide

Western Australian Labor is on track to win a third successive landslide in this Saturday’s election, according to a new WA poll from DemosAU.

The new West Australian poll showing 57% support for Labor on a two-party preferred basis compared to 43% for the Liberals.

Conducted between 4-5 March 2025, 1126 respondents were asked who they would vote for, their preferred premier, and whether they think WA was headed in the right direction.

On a primary vote basis, WA Labor led on 43% (down 16.9% from the 2021 state election) followed by the Liberals on 30%, Greens 11% and Any Other Candidate 11% and Nationals at 5%.

Roger Cook was preferred premier (47%), Libby Mettam (32%) and Don’t Know (21%).

DemosAU Head of Research George Hasanakos said it was a “remarkable electoral achievement” in a state that does not have a record of long-term governments.

“Since the DemosAU November 2024 poll, Labor has consolidated its primary vote, stemmed losses to the Greens and slightly improved its position against the Liberals, indicating an effective campaign.

“Conversely the Liberals are down 4 percentage points on the primary vote since the DemosAU November 2024 poll. The Liberal vote has fallen as other right-of-centre options have crystallised during the campaign including the Nationals, One Nation, Australian Christians.

“The poll indicates 12-13% swing away from Labor after preferences, this would see Labor lose 11 seats on a uniform swing, which would still leave Labor above 40 seats.

“Swings aren’t necessarily uniform. Labor will be hoping that its recontesting MPs in seats won for the first time in 2021 will have built a personal vote that may in some cases keep their seats against the state-wide swing.

“Conversely, the Liberals will be hoping that the swing is larger in middle to outer metropolitan Perth so it can win seats above the state-wide swing such as Kalamunda, Darling Range and Kingsley to maximise its MP count in the next Parliament.”

Prior to the state voting intention question, all respondents in the WA poll were asked if they knew which state electorate they were enrolled in.

If they indicated yes, then they were offered the list of Western Australian state electorates to choose from. Respondents were then presented with the final list of nominated candidates in ballot paper order for their chosen electorate. If they indicated no, they were offered a generic state-wide party ballot

Please see our methodology statement for more information on our WA Poll.

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