- LNP holds steady with a 34% primary vote
- One Nation slides, Labor and the Greens each improve by 1 percentage point
- See our report for more
The LNP has retained its clear lead in the latest DemosAU/PremierNational Queensland Poll, amid a modest improvement for Labor and a slide in support for One Nation.
Premier David Crisafulli’s LNP held steady with a primary vote of 34% in the poll of 1,291 Queensland voters, conducted from August 22 to September 2, while Labor lifted one point to 26% and One Nation dropped 3 points to 21%.
Support for the Greens increased 1 percentage point to 11%, with Katter’s Australia Party at 1% and Others at 7%.
On a two-party preferred basis the LNP leads Labor 56-44% — a two per cent gain for Labor and a two per cent loss for the LNP compared to May 2026.
Mr Crisafulli leads Opposition Leader Steven Miles 45-33 as Preferred Premier, despite a two point slide for the Premier and a 3 point increase for the Labor leader.
The Premier holds a personal net positive rating of +18, up 2 points since February, while Mr Miles’ rating improved 5 points to -5.
Among other figures tested, Attorney General Deb Frecklington has a net positive rating of +3, while Deputy Premier Jarrod Bleijie is on -5, unchanged from February. On the Labor side, Deputy Opposition leader Cameron Dick is on -10 (up 5 points) and Shadow Treasurer Shannon Fentiman is on -12 (up 1 point).
Respondents were almost evenly split on the state’s current trajectory, with 42% (down 1 from June) saying it was headed in the right direction and 41% (up 4) believing it was headed in the wrong direction.
Cost of living remained the number 1 political issue, with 31% (down 3 from June) of respondents identifying it as a top issue, followed by 23% for housing and homelessness (down 2) and crime on 21% (up 3).
DemosAU Head of Research George Hasanakos said the One Nation vote in Queensland had fallen, which was consistent with DemosAU polling in other states and federally.
“With no MPs and no state spokesperson in Queensland, One Nation is highly dependent on federal trends and with Senator Hanson’s vote falling in the past month, it has taken its toll on their Queensland vote,” Mr Hasanakos said.
“However, the LNP has not capitalised on the lost One Nation vote as it has fallen to other opposition and crossbench parties.
“Since the previous quarter, the One Nation primary went down one per cent with men while it declined six per cent with women, and that’s been evenly spread between Labor and the LNP.
“As a result, the statewide two-party preferred result has narrowed to 56-44% to the government from 58-42% in May.”
Mr Hasanakos said while there were some slight positive movements for Labor, the LNP was in a commanding position.
“On these numbers the LNP government would have an even better result than they did at the 2024 election. However, with sentiment about the direction of the state softening from +8 in February to +1 today indicates possible headwinds ahead.”
PremierNational Executive Director Nelson Savanh said David Crisafulli had firmed up his position as the country’s second-most popular Premier after South Australia’s Peter Malinauskas, giving vindication to the Queensland Premier’s approach to drawing key battlelines with Canberra over GST, disaster funding and data centres.
“Approaching the halfway point of the term, the Premier will need to start convincing Queenslanders that his government is getting a handle on three of his four campaign crises – cost of living, housing and youth crime,” Mr Savanh said.
“David Crisafulli has bucked the trend of Liberal leaders in keeping Pauline Hanson at bay in her home state and remains a much more popular figure than Steven Miles.
“If an election were held today, we’d see the Crisafulli Government returned better off than in the 2024 election.”
