The Crisafulli Government maintains a clear lead over Labor in Queensland on the eve of its one year anniversary, leading 54-46% on a two-party preferred basis, despite losing voters to One Nation since the last election.
The DemosAU/PremierNational Queensland state poll puts the LNP primary vote at 37%, down 4.5% since the 2024 election, while Labor’s primary has fallen to 29%, down 3.6% since the election.
The poll shows a 6% swing towards One Nation, with a primary vote of 14%, while The Greens were at 12% (a 2.1% swing) and Others were at 8%.
Asked whether Queensland was headed in the right or wrong direction, 42% said “right direction”, 38% said “wrong direction”, with 20% selecting “don’t know”.
For preferred premier, David Crisafulli led Steven Miles 44% to 32%.
The top issues facing Queenslanders today were lack of affordable housing (cited by 30% of respondents), cost of living (27%) and crime (including youth crime) 20%.
Queenslanders marked the government poorly on key issues including housing (net good job -36%), cost of living (net good job -38%) and energy and electricity (net good job -12%).
Perceptions of the Government’s performance on crime (net good job -2%) were split.
Positive perceptions of the government’s handling of the 2032 Brisbane Olympics (net good job 7%) and state budget (net good job 1%) outweighed negative perceptions.
DemosAU Head of Research George Hasanakos said: “One year on from the 2024 election result, the LNP is still in the same electoral position as it was a year ago.
“But issues like affordable housing continue to be problematic for the government and if not acted on, it could be a problem for the Crisafulli government in the future.
“Crime is still up there as an important issue to Queenslanders and our findings show Queenslanders are split on Crisafulli’s performance on the issue.”
Mr Hasanakos said the rise in One Nation’s vote was consistent with the nationwide trend since the 2025 May election.
“This surge in One Nation’s vote has occurred across the country, even in states like Victoria where the party has traditionally not been strong. Time will tell whether this is a short term reaction to the federal election outcome or something of lasting significance.
PremierNational Queensland Executive Director Nelson Savanh the result was encouraging for David Crisafulli’s style of politics as the government marks a year in office.
“The Premier has been rewarded for his focus on things he can deliver, rather than fighting culture wars.”
“The LNP has landed a high-risk plan for the 2032 Brisbane Games – which has been given a relative thumbs up in voterland, as has Treasurer David Janetzki’s budget.
He said it was unsurprising that the issues that stood out as priorities for voters were the ones the government had identified as crises – youth crime, health, cost of living and housing.
“Voters are hard markers on these issues, but expect the government to remain focused on rolling out policies to address them over the next three years – their political future depends on it.
Mr Savanh said One Nation support, particularly in regional Queensland, will be in the back of the government’s mind as the LNP faces a by-election in Hinchinbrook caused by the resignation of KAP MP Nick Dametto.
About the poll:
The Queensland poll of 1006 voters was conducted via internet panels from 13-20 October . The effective margin of error was +/- 3.6%.
The methodology statement can be found here.
