The Crisafulli LNP government has extended its lead over the Labor opposition, despite a continued rise in support for One Nation, according to the latest DemosAU/PremierNational poll.
The poll of 1,033 Queensland voters, conducted from 27 May to 3 June, shows the LNP primary vote steady at 34%, with Labor down 3 points to 25% and One Nation up 3 points to 24%. The Greens were steady on 10%, with Others steady on 7%.
On a two party preferred basis, the LNP leads Labor 58-42, a 4.2% swing in the government’s direction since the 2024 election.
Premier David Crisafulli holds a clear lead over Opposition Leader Steven Miles, with 47% selecting him as preferred premier, compared to 30% for Mr Miles.
Meanwhile, 43% of Queenslanders believe the state is headed in the right direction, compared to 37% who believe it is headed in the wrong direction.
Top Issues: Cost of Living, Housing and Crime
Cost of living continues to lead as the top issue for Queenslanders, with 34% of people identifying it as one of their top three issues, followed by housing affordability on 25% and crime on 18%.
Despite its relative popularity overall, voters rate the government negatively on each of these three issues, with 59% saying it is doing an unsatisfactory job on cost of living, compared to 18% saying it is doing a satisfactory job, 54% saying it is doing an unsatisfactory job on housing (19% satisfactory) and 42% rating its performance unsatisfactory on crime (34% satisfactory).
It fares better on managing the Olympics (30% satisfactory, 24% unsatisfactory), health and hospitals (38% satisfactory, 35% unsatisfactory) and the state budget (34% satisfactory, 33% unsatisfactory).
LNP In Comfortable Position
DemosAU Head of Research George Hasanakos said the poll showed the LNP in a very comfortable position while Labor was struggling against the rise of One Nation.
“This poll and the general polling trend over the past two years indicates that the Crisafulli LNP Government has entrenched its electoral position in office.
“They’ve been able to stem the loss of support to One Nation and probably rely on their preferences to increase their TPP position.
“Compared to other states and federally, the state LNP has been able to retain more voter support against the growing support for One Nation. This is largely down to holding their election winning support among over 55s. For this group of voters, the Crisafulli LNP Government is seen as a reliable incumbent.
“Currently the state LNP leads One Nation 49-20 among over 55. Federally we see One Nation leading the primary vote for this cohort on a nation-wide basis. This is the bedrock of state LNP support.
“Labor is losing some of the anti-Government protest vote to One Nation, especially among under 55s. This weakens Labor’s electoral position assuming a strong preference flow from One Nation to the LNP.’
Mr Hasanakos said despite One Nation being only one point behind Labor on the primary vote, it would be highly unlikely that One Nation would form opposition based on this poll.
“While Labor is struggling in the poll, its higher base of support in south-east Queensland and the assistance of Greens’ preferences would still see it comfortably returned as the official opposition if an election were held today.
PremierNational Queensland Executive Director Nelson Savanh said ahead of the LNP’s second budget the Premier will have a spring in his step.
“With the Liberal vote around the country collapsing in the face of One Nation, Crisafulli’s calm and centre-of-the-road approach has bucked the trend, extending the LNP’s two party preferred and preferred premier leads.
“Ahead of the budget, Queenslanders will be looking to the government to tackle the cost of living, while the public continues to be frustrated with the pace of addressing crime issues.
“An added bonus for the government, as shovels hit the ground on the Brisbane Stadium, is that Queenslanders have given the LNP a pass mark for getting on with delivering the 2032 Games.”
About this poll
This poll of 1,033 respondents was carried out between 27 May and 3 June 2026. The effective margin of error is +/- 3.8%. For more information, check out our report.
Sign up to our mailing list to stay up to date on the latest in Australian polling and research.
