Federal Labor’s 2nd Term Honeymoon

Anthony Albanese and federal Labor are enjoying a clear second term honeymoon, according to a new poll from DemosAU, showing a further lift in support for Labor from its dominant 2025 election showing. 

The poll of 1,199 enrolled Australian voters, carried out on July 5 and 6, showed a 1.4% lift in Labor’s primary since the May 3 poll to 36%.

Meanwhile, the Liberal National Coalition has suffered a 5.8% fall to 26%, after losing supporters to both Labor and One Nation.

One Nation is up 2.6% to 9% while the Greens are up 1.8% to 14%. Meanwhile, 15% of voters selected any other candidate, a category that includes independents and other minor parties – equal to the election result. 

On a Two Party preferred basis, Labor now leads the Coalition 59% to 41%.

Commentary from DemosAU head of research George Hasanakos:

This result is a classic honeymoon effect for landslide election winners.

It is not unusual after a landslide election result, that the victor picks up further support in the polls.

However, as the realities of governing return after the euphoria of the election result subsides, keeping such sky-high support is a more difficult task.

Despite this the current results do show the terrain of electoral support when the tide is in for Labor and out for the Coalition.

Labor has two-party preferred leads among over 55s and respondents who own their home outright, usually Coalition strengths.

Conversely the Coalition trails almost 3 to 1 after preferences among the 18-34 age group and has a primary vote share of 16% almost half of the Greens (31%) among this cohort.

Labor is showing outsized strength among respondents with a TAFE background, indicating the possible success of policy initiatives aimed at manufacturing and blue collar jobs.

See our report for more information.